Wednesday, September 17, 2014

NFL Week 3 Picks


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2) at Atlanta Falcons (1-1)

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)

San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Buffalo Bills (2-0)

Oakland Raiders (0-2) at New England Patriots (1-1)

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at St. Louis Rams (1-1)

Washington Redskins (1-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0)

Houston Texans (2-0) at New York Giants (0-2)

Minnesota Vikings (1-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-2)

Tennessee Titans (1-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-0)

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Detroit Lions (1-1)

Indianapolis Colts (0-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2)

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0)



Denver Broncos (2-0) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)
Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at Miami Dolphins (1-1)

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-0)

Chicago Bears (1-1) at New York Jets (1-1)



Season Record 16-16
Week 2: 8-8
Week 1: 8-8

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Greatest Quarterbacks of All-Time: Nos. 20-18

In selecting the 25 greatest quarterbacks in the history of the NFL, I took into account QB stats, accolades (Pro Bowls, All-Pro selections, Offensive Player of the Year honors, MVP's, etc.), as well as regular season and postseason success--making note of the era each signal caller played in and how the game operated at that time. In this post, I rank QB's Nos. 20-18 in league history.
20. Fran Tarkenton 
Minnesota Vikings, 1961-1966; New York Giants, 1967-1971; Minnesota Vikings 1972-1978
AP Photo
Tarkenton was drafted twice—first selected by the Boston Patriots in the fifth round of the 1961 AFL Draft—then picked a month later by the Minnesota Vikings, an expansion team, in the third round of the 1961 NFL Draft. The 21-year-old Tarkenton signed with the Vikings and saw game action in the franchise’s first ever contest, replacing ineffective veteran starter George Shaw. Despite coming off the bench, Tarkenton accounted for five touchdowns—four passing TDs in a 250-yard debut and one rushing TD as the Vikings upset the Chicago Bears in commanding fashion, 37-13. Tarkenton remains the only player in NFL history to pass for four touchdowns in his first NFL game. He played for the Vikings for the next six years, earning Pro Bowl honors in 1964 and 1966. However, he butted heads with head coach Norm Van Brocklin, who disparaged the idea of a mobile QB. Brocklin wanted a traditional pocket passer, making an eventual divorce between the coach and QB inevitable.
The Vikings traded Tarkenton and his uncanny scrambling abilities to the New York Giants in 1967 for a pair of first-round and second-round picks. The swift “Frantic Fran” brought the cellar-dwelling Giants (who went 1-12-1 in previous year) back to respectability in his five-year tenure in New York. In his first game as a member of the Giants, he threw two fourth quarter TDs to complete a comeback victory over his former team, 24-23. The Giants finished the season at the .500 mark, a year after posting the league’s worst record. Tarkenton made the Pro Bowl with the Giants in his first four seasons with the Giants (1967-1970), but was unable to lead the franchise to any postseason action (the team fell just shy of reaching the playoffs in 1970 with a 9-5 record).
With Brocklin long gone, the Vikings traded back for Tarkenton in 1972 via another blockbuster deal that cost Minnesota their All-Pro receiver Bob Grim, three-time Pro Bowl QB Norm Snead, rookie Vince Clements and a 1st-round choice in ‘72 and ‘73. In his second stint with the Vikings, he made three Pro Bowls (1974-1976) and won the MVP award in 1975, a year in which he registered 2,994 passing yards and 25 TDs versus 13 interceptions in a 12-2 campaign for Minnesota.
 In his final seven years with the Vikings (1972-1978), “The Mad Scrambler” led Minnesota to six NFC Central Division titles and three Super Bowl appearances. He lost all three Super Bowls he played in, failing to attain the coveted NFL title that eluded him throughout his entire career.
Over the 18 seasons he spent in the NFL, Tarkenton threw for 47,003 yards (8th all-time) and 342 touchdowns (6th most in NFL history). On the ground, he amassed 3,674 rushing yards and 32 touchdowns.

 19. Bob Griese
Miami Dolphins, 1967-1980
Via NFL.com
Selected No.1 overall by the AFL’s Miami Dolphins in 1967, Griese enjoyed a brilliant rookie season in which he threw for over 2,000 yards with 15 touchdown passes. He was named to the AFL All-Star team in each of his first two years in the league. The Dolphins—an expansion franchise established in 1966—struggled in all three of the years Griese spent in the AFL, posting a dismal 12-28-2 record.
The Dolphins’ fortunes changed with the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. The club hired Don Shula, who netted three NFL Coach of the Year honors and an NFL championship in his tenure with the Baltimore Colts. Shula continued his legacy in Miami, developing Griese into an elite signal caller. The Dolphins reached the playoffs for the first time in their short history in Shula’s inaugural year with the club, winning 10 of their 14 contests in 1970 as Griese made the Pro Bowl.
In the 1971 NFL season, Griese—a Pro Bowler and AP First-Team All-Pro—led the Dolphins to Super Bowl VI, but fell flat 24-3 at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys.
The Dolphins completed the only perfect season in NFL history in 1972 under the helm of Griese and Shula. Griese was sidelined for much of the team’s immortalized season. He broke his leg in Week 5 against San Diego, but miraculously returned for the AFC Championship game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers. He was the man under center for the Super Bowl VII victory, defeating the Washington Redskins 14-7.
Repeating as champions in 1973, Griese and CO. cruised to a 12-2 record in the regular season, before throttling all three opponents they faced in the playoffs. The Dolphins won the AFC Divisional Round 34-16 over the visiting Bengals, before dispatching the Oakland Raiders 27-10, en route to the Dolphins’ 24-7 win over the Vikings in Super Bowl VIII.
The Dolphins reached the postseason three times in the final seven years of Griese’s career from 1974-1980, failing to return to the Super Bowl or even the AFC Championship again.
By career's end, Griese tallied two AFL All-Star appearances, six trips to the Pro Bowl and got the nod from the Associated Press for First-All Team twice (1971, 1977). The two-time Super Bowl Champion compiled 25,092 yards and 192 TDs through the air and 994 yards and seven TDs on the ground.
             
18. Kurt Warner
St. Louis Rams, 1998-2003; New York Giants, 2004; Arizona Cardinals, 2005-2009
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

       Kurt Warner’s rise to greatness is a tale of perseverance. After being released from the Green Bay Packers’ practice squad in 1994, Warner opted to work at a grocery store. Following a year of bagging groceries, the indomitable QB took his talents to the Arena Football League to play for the Iowa Barnstormers. Warner, an unstoppable force for the Barnstormers from 1995-1997, transitioned to “NFL’s Europe” to play for the Amsterdam Admirals. There, he caught the eye of various league scouts, particularly the St. Louis Rams, who signed the 27-year-old QB.
            Finally inked to an NFL deal, Warner knew he needed to make the most of this precious opportunity. He was buried in the depth chart as the third-string QB for his rookie season in 1998, but an injury to starting QB Trent Green in 1999 provided Warner the desired opening to showcase his talents. Warner threw TDs in each of his first three starts, a feat that no other QB in NFL history has accomplished. Warner was far from finished after three stellar outings. He orchestrated one of the most prolific seasons by a QB in NFL history, throwing for 4,353 yards with 41 touchdown passes and a completion rate of 65.1%. Warner won the 1999 NFL MVP, and was also named MVP of Super Bowl XXXIV as St. Louis defeated the Tennessee Titans, 23-16, to secure the franchise’s first title since the Los Angeles Rams were crowned champions in 1951.
            The Rams high-octane offensedeemed “The Greatest Show on Turf”mustered three consecutive 500-point seasons (1999-2001), an NFL record. Fresh of a Super Bowl victory, Warner had an electrifying start to his 2000 season,  registering 300 or more passing yards in each of his first 6 games—tying Steve Young's record—throwing for 19 touchdown passes in the process. A hand injury stifled Warner’s stretch of triumph, sidelining him for five games that season.
            After losing in the Wild-Card Round the previous year, Warner directed the Rams back to the Super Bowl in the 2001 NFL season. Crowned MVP for a second time, Warner accumulated 4,830 passing yards and 38 TDs as the Rams claimed the NFL’s top record at 14-2. Warner came up just short in his pursuit of a second championship ring, losing to the underdog New England Patriots in Super Bowl XXXVI.
            Nagging hand injuries shelved Warner from 23 out of a possible 32 games from 2002-2003. Fearful that Warner’s best days were behind him, the Rams cut their Super Bowl winning QB in the onset of the 2004 offseason in favor of Marc Bulger.
            That same offseason the New York Giants signed Warner—just months after trading for the top pick in the 2004 NFL Draft to select Eli Manning. Warner was given the job to start the season, but was yanked by head coach Tom Coughlin after two consecutive losses in the middle of the year that brought the team to a pedestrian 5-4 record. Under Manning, the Giants won just one of their final seven contests.
            Signed by the Cardinals the ensuing offseason, Warner achieved decent success in his first two years with the club. However, it was not until the 2007 season—the year Warner bypassed first-round pick Matt Leinart for the starting gig—that the two-time MVP returned to stardom. Warner had 27 TD passes in 2007, one shy of the Cardinals franchise record.
            A Pro Bowl campaign came next for Warner, who recorded a 96.9 passer rating with 30 touchdowns versus just 14 interceptions in 2008. Warner led the Cardinals to the franchise’s first playoff appearance since 1998, also securing the team’s first division title in 33 years.
            Despite losing in heartbreaking fashion in Super Bowl XLIII to the Pittsburgh Steelers, Warner was able to again demonstrate why he is one of the most clutch QBs in league history. In the 27-23 defeat, Warner threw for 377 yards (the 2nd-highest total in Super Bowl history), completed 72.1% of his passes and had a quarterback rating of 112.3.
            In his final season in the NFL, Warner helped the Cardinals earn consecutive trips to the playoffs for the first time since 1974-1975. Facing the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 2, Warner broke the NFL’s single-game record for completion percentage in a regular season game with a 92.3 mark, completing 24 of 26 passing for 243 yards and two touchdowns as he topped the previous league record set by Vinny Testaverde in 1993. A Week 16 win over the Rams witnessed Warner become only the second quarterback in NFL history to throw 100 touchdown passes with two different teams—joining Tarkenton in that regard.
            In his final home playoff game, Warner dazzled the Cardinals’ fans with a remarkable outing, throwing more TDs (5) than incompletions (4) in the club’s thrilling 51-45 victory over the Green Bay Packers in the Wild-Card Round. Warner finished the game with the second-highest quarterback rating (154.1) in NFL playoff history. With the win, Warner finished his career with a 7-0 career home playoff record. Warner and the Cardinals were forced to travel to the SuperDome the following weekend, losing to the eventual Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints in his final NFL game. 

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

NFL Week 2 Picks


Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-1)

Arizona Cardinals (1-0) at New York Giants (0-1)

New Orleans Saints (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-1)

Atlanta Falcons (1-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-0)


New England Patriots (0-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-0)

Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) at Washington Redskins (0-1)

Dallas Cowboys (0-1) at Tennessee Titans (1-0)

Detroit Lions (1-0) at Carolina Panthers (1-0)

St. Louis Rams (0-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1)

Seattle Seahawks (1-0) at San Diego Chargers (0-1)

Houston Texans (1-0) at Oakland Raiders (0-1)

New York Jets (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-1)

Kansas City Chiefs (0-1) at Denver Broncos (1-0)

Chicago Bears (0-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-0)

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1)



Week 1 Record: 8-8

Wednesday, September 3, 2014

NFL Week 1 Predictions



Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks

The Super Bowl champions host the Packers in a rematch of the infamous "Fail Mary" contest at CenturyLink Field. A classic matchup featuring a lethal offense (Green Bay) pinned against a stellar defense (Seattle) kicks the 2014 NFL season off in style. The Seahawkslooking to become the first NFL team to repeat as champions since the Patriots won consecutive Super Bowls in the 2003-2004 seasonsstart their title defense off in victorious fashion.





Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
The Bengals have not won in Baltimore since 2009, and furthermore, Andy Dalton is 1-2 in regular season openers with three interceptions and just two touchdown passes. On the opposite site, the Ravens boast a revamped offense with the additions of WR Steve Smith and TE Owen Daniels. New targets could be deadly for Joe Flacco, who is 5-1 in regular season openers. Flacco is a perfect 4-0 in season openers at M&T Bank Stadium with a 100.8 passer rating, throwing eight touchdowns and one interception. 


New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

The Saints have owned this NFC South rivalry of late, winning 13 of 16 against the Falcons since coach Sean Payton and quarterback Drew Brees arrived in 2006. Under Mike Smith, the Falcons have posted a grim 3-9 record against New Orleans. The Falcons did little to improve their pass coverage in the offseason, which could come back to haunt them versus the Saints. Jimmy Graham, who recorded TD receptions in both contests against the Falcons last year, could go off for a monster day in what will likely be a high scoring affair.


Washington Redskins at Houston Texans
Both clubs enter 2014 with hopes of erasing the agonizing memories of last season. The Redskins won just three games last year, a season after grabbing the NFC East title in Robert Griffin III's rookie campaign in 2012. The Texans, a popular preseason Super Bowl pick a year ago, lost their final 14 contests in 2013 to finish with the league's worst record. Both clubs are spearheaded by rookie head coaches, likely making this a highly competitive, nail-biting contest.


Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams
The Mike Zimmer era opens against the Rams, who feature one of the most talented front seven's in the NFL. Adrian Peterson should thrive in Norv Turner's system, which has produced the league's leading rusher five times. Yet, I envision the Vikings' Matt Cassel-led offense to struggle against the Rams' ferocious defensive unit.


New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
This is the best roster the Patriots have assembled since their perfect regular season in 2007. The Patriots will avenge their Week 15 loss at Miami from a season ago, defeating the Dolphins to commence their annual dominance of the AFC East.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles
The Jaguars have steadily bolstered their defense over the past two years, and the play of rookie QB Blake Bortles in the preseason gives the franchise hope moving forward. However, Chad Henne will start for the Jaguars on Sunday against an Eagles' squad expected to grasp the NFC East crown for a second straight year.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Browns defense is playoff-ready, but their anemic offense will make it hard for the team to win close games. The loss of Josh Gordon is devastating for the Browns, who will start Brian Hoyer as Johnny Manziel awaits in the wings. Ben Roethlisberger posts a whopping 16-1 record against Cleveland, giving little reason to believe the Browns can pull off the road upset.


Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears
Losing Kiko Alonsothe 2013 Defensive Rookie of the Yearto a season-ending ACL tear was a devastating blow for the Bills, who could be in store for another long season. The Bears, one of the most talented offenses in football, should win this contest easily.


Oakland Raiders at New York Jets
Rookie Derek Carr gets the nod at QB for the Raiders, who look for their first winning season since 2002. Carr could be the answer for the Raiders under center long term, but it may be asking too much for a QB making his NFL debut to take down Rex Ryan's vaunted defense.


Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs endured a rough offseason, losing many of their core pieces (via free agency) from a team that grabbed a wild-card spot a season ago. Nonetheless, Kansas City plays substantially better at rowdy Arrowhead Stadium.


Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last year's cellar-dwelling Tampa Bay Bucs could surprise this season under Lovie Smith if their offense is up to par. The Panthers, heavily scrutinized this offseason for failing to retain a single wideout from their receiving corps from a season ago (cutting the franchise's all-time greatest player in Steve Smith), could have their hands full against an underrated Bucs' defense.


San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys
Expect a shootout in this NFC clash. The 49ers are gutted at defense at the moment. NaVorro Bowman is out for at least the first half of the season recovering from his ACL and MCL tear in his left knee that occurred in last season's NFC Championship game. Nose tackle Glenn Dorsey was placed on the Injured Reserve/Designated to Return list on Monday as he rehabs from his torn left biceps.The 49ers are also without Aldon Smith, who will begin serving his nine game suspension on Sunday. The Cowboys, meanwhile, likely possess the league's worst defense. They ranked 30th in the league in passing and 27th against the run a year ago. With DeMarcus Ware defecting to Denver and Sean Lee gone for the season after tearing his ACL in May, the Cowboys will struggle stopping opponents all year.


Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
Peyton Manning lost his first matchup against his former team last season. Don't expect him to drop another to the Colts, even with Indianapolis creeping towards AFC supremacy. 


New York Giants at Detroit Lions
Eli Manning suffered his worst season of his career last year, forcing the Giants to shake up their personnel on offense. The Giants' preseason woes under new offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo suggest the team will endure immense growing pains on offense this year. The Lions' faithful will be rewarded on "Monday Night Football" as the Jim Caldwell era in Detroit begins on a winning note.


San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals
Arguably the most intriguing matchup of Week 1, the Cardinals and Chargers clash in the second game of the special opening week "Monday Night Football" doubleheader. The Cardinals ranked No. 1 in rushing yards allowed in 2013, but the departure of Karlos Dansby to Cleveland and the season-ending injury to Darnell Dockett makes the defensive line a tad vulnerable. Still, the Cardinals' tenacious secondary consisting of Patrick Peterson, Antonio Cromartie and Tyrann Mathieu should give their opponents fits in the passing game. The Chargers appear primed for a second straight trip to the postseason, but the playoff-hopeful Cardinals grab a tight win in this contest.